NIMs Decision - key determinations for carbon market analytics for the period 2013 - 2020
Thursday, 12 September 2013 20:19

 

As a result of the NIMs Decision, some 66.3 million more allowances are to be auctioned for 2013 but this figure will influence on auction calendars in 2014.

 

The European Commission Decision of 5 September 2013 concerning national implementation measures for the transitional free allocation of greenhouse gas emission allowances in accordance with Article 11(3) of Directive 2003/87/EC of the European Parliament and of the Council (2013/448/EU - the "NIMs Decision" accompanied by "Questions and Answers on the Commission's decision on national implementation measures (NIMs)" brings some key market determinations.

 

Over phase three of the European Union Emissions Trading Scheme (2013-2020), some 43 % (corresponding to 6.6 billion allowances) of the total phase three cap will be allocated for free to industrial installations. Further free allocation will be available to new entrants from the new entrants' reserve. 

It should be noted that these figures are based on installations operating on 1 January 2013. In case of closures, free allocation will be reduced. Free allocation to new installations will not have an impact on the above figures, as they are distributed from a separate account (the new entrants reserve).

 

Total amount of free allocation by country

in the EU ETS period 2013 - 2020 

 

                                                                      

 

Country

   

Free allowances

 

Austria

164 632 091

Belgium

293 208 651

Bulgaria

77 815 802

Croatia

40 308 355

Cyprus

7 079 243

Czech Republic

175 374 741

Denmark

75 369 687

Estonia

20 190 563

Finland

163 625 051

France

644 707 515

Germany

1 248 689 189

Greece

120 927 880

Hungary

88 655 264

Iceland

10 975 310

Ireland

41 247 01

     

 

Country

   

Free allowances

 

Italy

664 206 420

Latvia

18 167 832

Liechtenstein

85 555

Lithuania

44 586 184

Luxembourg

10 249 008

Netherlands

369 497 778

Norway

131 326 800

Poland

422 619 164

Portugal

90 169 746

Romania

206 855 629

Slovakia

120 642 546

Slovenia

19 027 211

Spain

526 303 310

Sweden

194 457 651

United Kingdom

510 739 800

                                                                
   

 

 

Total amount of free allocation in 2013 to 2020 for the most important industry sectors

 

 

Sector

   

Free Allocation

 

Basic iron and steel

1 512 388 225

Cement

1 110 105 321

Basic chemicals (including fertilizers)

998 567 590

Refinery products (including coke)

878 402 084

Pulp and paper

247 316 201

Lime

202 414 638

Extraction of crude and natural gas

176 646 281

Ceramics (including bricks and tiles)

139 715 269

Non-ferrous metals

128 607 153

Glass

121 123 660

 

Volume of allowances to be auctioned in the phase three

 

Generally the NIMs Decision is directly relevant for the volumes to be granted free of charge for industrial sectors and heat production, on the other hand it also affects the volumes of allowances to be auctioned since all allowances not allocated for free have to be sold in the auction.

 

Hence, the important new estimation that follows from the NIMs Decision is 8 176 193 157 which denotes the amount of allowances to be auctioned in the period from 2013 to 2020.

 

This volume has been determined by the Eurupean Commission taking into account:

the limit set by Article 10a(5) of Directive 2003/87/EC,

- the allocation in respect of heat production pursuant to Article 10a(4) set out in the table below,

the size of the new entrants' reserve,

- "the improved overview" of the number of allowances that will be allocated free of charge that results from NIMs Decision.

 

 

The said estimation of the amount of allowances to be auctioned follows for purposes of Article 10(1) of Directive 2003/87/EC.

 

 

 8 176 193 157

 

  Amount of allowances to be auctioned in the period from 2013 to 2020

 

  

Auction calendar  modifications

 

The change that follows from the modified auction overall volumes is the consequent adjustment of the auction calendar.

 

NIMs Decision will serve as input to the annual auction calendars throughout phase three and is relevant for determining annual auction volumes in each year from 2013 to 2020.

 

The auction calendar for 2013 was determined in 2012 without the necessary input on free allocation and was therefore based on an estimate of free allocation for 2013. As a result of the NIMs Decision, some 66.3 million more allowances are to be auctioned for 2013.

 

 

66.3 million

 

Volume of the increase in the number of allowances to be auctioned for 2013 as a result of the NIMs Decision

 

 

The 2013 auction calendars will not, however, be adjusted and the said volume will be added to the volume to be auctioned in 2014 (the detailed 2014 calendars will be modified by agreement of the Member States, the European Commission and the auction platforms EEX and ICE in accordance with the Auctioning Regulation).

  

Linear reduction factor value

 

In 2014 and each subsequent year, the total quantity of allowances determined for 2013 on the basis of Article 9 and 9a of Directive 2003/87/EC decreases by a linear factor of 1,74 % from 2010, amounting to 38 264 246 allowances.

 

 

Volumes of annual free allocation for heat production

 

Year

Free allocation under Article 10a(4)

of Directive 2003/87/EC

2013

104 326 872

 

2014

 

93 819 860

2015

84 216 053

2016

75 513 746

2017

67 735 206

2018

60 673 411

 

2019

 

54 076 655

2020

47 798 754

 
 
 
The values for Cross-Sectoral Correction Factor and Standard Capacity Utilisation Factor (SCUF)
  
The NIMs Decision has also enabled the clearance on the exact values for Cross-Sectoral Correction Factors and  SCUF.
 

 

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